SmartHumans.ai
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Bill Ackman

Bill Ackman

Analyst

Pershing Square Capital

Founder and CEO of Pershing Square Capital Management. Known for activist investing and high-profile positions. Prolific on Twitter with market takes.

58.3%
Accuracy
178
Predictions Tracked
104
Correct
67
Incorrect
Tracked since Feb 2020
7 pending
28,934 followers

Tracked Predictions

financecorrectSep 2021

Universal Music Group is undervalued

UMG stock will significantly outperform the market

Outcome: UMG has risen ~40% since Pershing Square's investment

85% confidence3 years

Accuracy by Category

Activist Plays67%

45 predictions

Short Positions52%

23 predictions

Long Positions61%

78 predictions

Macro Calls54%

32 predictions

Recent Predictions

W
L
W
W
L
W
L
W
W
P

Last 10 resolved predictions

Yearly Performance

2020
71%
2021
58%
2022
55%
2023
59%
2024
57%

Key Insights

Best Category

Activist Plays

Worst Category

Short Positions

Avg Confidence

78%