SmartHumans.ai

Predictions

Tech/Pending/Jan 2026/5 months

GPT-5 will be released before July 2026

Confidence
72%

OpenAI will publicly release GPT-5 (not a preview/demo) before July 1, 2026

Finance/Pending/Feb 2026/10 months

Jim Cramer: Tesla will hit $500 by year end

Confidence
65%

Tesla stock will reach $500 per share before December 31, 2026

Politics/Pending/Jan 2026/9 months

Democrats will win the 2026 midterm House majority

Confidence
58%

The Democratic Party will flip the House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections

Gaming/Correct/Mar 2025

GTA 6 will be delayed to 2027

Confidence
70%

Grand Theft Auto VI will not ship in its Fall 2025 window and will be pushed to 2027 or later

Outcome: GTA 6 was officially delayed to May 2026

Science/Pending/Sep 2025/18 months

Elon Musk: Neuralink will cure blindness within 2 years

Confidence
30%

Neuralink's brain-computer interface will restore vision in blind patients within 24 months

Finance/Pending/Jan 2026/4 years

Cathie Wood: Bitcoin will hit $1M by 2030

Confidence
45%

Bitcoin will reach $1,000,000 per coin before the end of 2030

Sports/Incorrect/Oct 2025

Lakers will miss the 2026 NBA playoffs

Confidence
60%

The Los Angeles Lakers will fail to qualify for the 2026 NBA Playoffs (including play-in)

Outcome: Lakers eliminated in play-in tournament

World/Pending/Dec 2025/7 months

Ray Dalio: US will enter recession by Q3 2026

Confidence
55%

The United States economy will officially enter a recession (2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP) by Q3 2026